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Preview 02 April 2008

 

3.20 Catterick Bridge.co.uk class 4 Handicap 1M 5F 175yards Good ground

1. Aureate – never likely to trouble the principals in a class 2 handicap recently and is much better judged on his run in a class 4 handicap similar to this last season where he finished 5th to Toparudi over a middle distance such as today’s race. The ground that day had some ease in it and with drying conditions today the conditions of this race should be totally different. There are some concerns over his ability to stay this trip, but the quickening conditions should help him along and has a outside chance of top weight here.

My Rating – 87

2. Wild Fell Hall – Made a average return to the flat after a campaign over hurdles this winter where he never quite cut the mustard, the kempton race last time has worked out quite well and he no doubt will improve for that spin on the all-weather. The runs prior to hurdles were quite the opposite to the return to the flat as the win on the all-weather to I Have Dreamed is decent enough handicapping form and should give him a say in this handicap if in the same mood today. Stayed 12 furlongs well he should see out this longer trip today in decent style and given that conditions underfoot and the sharp nature of the track suiting he should run a big race today for connections of joint top weight.

My Rating – 94

3. Thewhirlingdevlish – Often campaigned over these sorts of trips and runs with a degree of consistency in them as well. Today’s return to the race track after over 200 days of the track could well be used as a prep race as he skins fitter for the runs and gets stronger as the season goes on and at the grand old age of 10 has very little improvement to overcome a mark plenty high enough for his current well being. A great servant downs the years he will have better opportunities through out the summer.

My Rating – 84

4. Mister Arjay – starting to look handicapped to go well again and even though he is very exposed as a handicapper he could still hold his own today at the age of 8yo. The drying ground will be much in his favour and the longer it stays dry the more likely he is to run big races from his current mark, the trip may be his biggest downfall as he looks like he may need a stiffer test then this around a sharp track that isn’t ideal for his galloping style and he may well benefit when given a much stiffer task to run a big race.

My Rating – 80

5. Hernando’s Boy – Pulled up latest over hurdles at Wetherby where the ground can get rather tacky and shouldn’t be discounted on his return to the flat. Nicely handicapped down the weights here he has a decent looking win over 14F here on his last run on the flat last season and with a consistent campaign over hurdles through out the winter he should be fit and raring to go around this course and trip. There are no real major concerns with the horse and it will be fair to say if he fails to land this then he just isn’t classy enough on the flat.

My Rating – 92

6. Kames Park – a big drop in class from a listed race behind November handicap winner Malt or Mash just over a week ago and this should be much more his level on his return to the turf for this upcoming season. Ran with much credit prior to that listed race when beating Salute by a short head in what was a head to head on paper. Stay these sorts of trips well at his own pace he should run a big race even though the ground could have done with staying on the soft side of good as most of his best efforts have come with juice in the ground. Back down to a mark he can expose the handicapper of he has quite a bit in his favour today and could well go close.

My Rating – 87

7. Aleron – Another who has been heavily campaigned with fences as well as hurdles on the menu over Christmas for this now old timer on the flat, quite possibly better suited to the jumping game then the flat these days he does handle quick ground just as well as the soft underfoot conditions that have seen him in much better light. Now 10yo he is another that is well handicapped on old form and will be looking to improve his most recent efforts on the level where last time he showed any sort of form was the run at this track behind Halla San. Decent over trips such as this he could well claim a place of current mark today.

My Rating – 83

8. Puy D’Arnac – Very unexposed on British form having plied his trade in France for most of his life and has only ran here on the flat 3 times with 2 hurdle races in between them. Finished a close enough 2nd at Doncaster in a apprentice handicap he looks to have found his feet for Alan Swimbank who does so well with these types. Not a lot to go on and will have to improve on the 2nd to Red Wine last time out but is more then capable of coming on for the run for a yard that are masters of getting them right more often then wrong.

My Rating – 91

9. Hugs Destiny – enjoys it around here and is very much a low-grade handicapper overall and may find this tough going from out of the handicap. Can pop up at a big price now and again he handles the ground and course very well, the two biggest concerns has to be his ability to last out a trip as far as this as he runs out of petrol around the 1.5M mark, the other concern has to be the fact he is half a stone out of the handicap at the weights today and with no real encouraging form of late and a exposed profile he looks very much one to pass over.

My Rating – 60

Tissue Prices – Wind Fell Hall 11/4, Hernando’s Boy 7/2, Puy D’Arnac 6/1, Auraete, Kames Park 8/1, Thewhirlingdervlish 10/1, Aleron 14/1, Mister Arjay 20/1, Hugs Destiny 33/1.

Verdict – Wild Fell Hall looks a monster price with around 20-1 on offer at some of the high street bookmakers and that has to be solely on the fact that he flopped last time at Kempton rather then his overall form in which he has proved to be more then capable at this level and even though the weight is quite high for this staying trip he has claims in a run of the mill handicap. Hernando’s Boy around 4-1 is a much more realistic price and has solid credentials for this handicap and may be the each-way shot to nothing in this handicap. Alan Swimbank runner is plenty short enough but could well be on the upgrade and shouldn’t be totally discounted in this handicap. Kames Park is another who could go well at 9-1, which looks a fair reflection on his chance.

Selection   Wild Fell Hall 1pt e/w @ 20-1 (BF28’s + 6.6)

Well Chief