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Preview -
10 Sep 2007
4.20 Folkestone Invicta Motors
Handicap class 4 (3yo+ 0-85) 5F Gd-FM
1 Texas Gold Cant be far
of winning having been dropped another 3lbs in the handicap from a
solid enough effort at Sandown last time, where the winner Indian
Trail franked the form by following up on Saturday. Most of his wins
have been recorded in the second part of the season and he is off a
mark that is the lowest he has been since his 4yo days. Handles
quick ground well and if getting the pace to aim at over 5F he
should have a good chance, where is his 95th race. On Goodwood form
a track that suits him he has around 6L to make up on Loch Verdi but
a big 19lbs swing in the weights should help his cause even though
his more recent efforts (prior to last run) has had him looking a
shade below his best.
My tissue price 8/1
2 Loch Verdi Has a big
weight negative with Texas Gold here today on Goodwood running over
5F, but that is more due to the rapid dropping of the handicap mark
with Texas Gold as she continues to not win but run well. A good
effort over 6F last time proved that she is still in good heart with
the winner following up next time out. Had Misaro well behind him on
the other side of the track at Donnie (split seemed no bias) and the
drop back to 5F may help both rivals today. Yet to show the form of
last season over 5F she may have benefited from a lighter campaign
having gone well fresh this season and without the claimer on board
this time her task isnt helped at the weights against Misaro and
Texas Gold.
My Tissue price 6/1
3 Bluebok Well supported
last time at Chester and has form that ties in with Loch Verdi,
Misaro and Texas Gold this season so the formlines are well
represented in this handicap today. The run at Chester was a good
effort but he could never reel in the winner that day (hard to peg
back leaders at track) so could come out of the race as a moral
winner, 3lbs worse off with Misaro for a couple of lengths, he most
probably had the better run of the race over this quick 5F with a
ideal draw. The goodwood form has him closely matched with Texas
Gold and Loch Verdi and all 3 should be separated by around a length
on lbs to length workings. Sharp tracks such as this suits and
should go close.
My Tissue price 5/1
4 Misaro Been in thumping
form this summer and should once again be on the premises over the
minimum distance, having recovered well from a start where he lost
room and place, and was staying on well at the finish to suggest he
is still in good heart. The swap of a 3lbs claimer for a 5lbs
claimer is interesting as he was dropped 2lbs for that 4th at
Chester and the return to Folkestone, where he has solid form at,
and reverting to front running tactics from a favourable draw is
likely to give him extra claims. On Ascot sprint form, he has claims
to reverse form with Loch Verdi over 5F and has a good chance in
this handicap.
My Tissue Price 3/1
5 - Safari Mischief Course
and distance winner who has been in good form this summer winning at
both Brighton and Lingfield on the all weather this summer, where he
has been lightly campaigned. Fair enough to say that both wins have
come at a low level against some frustrating types and that he needs
more in this better class of race, but he has got some solid form
with a cracking run at Goodwood over 5F last time where he had
Misaro 1L back. The weights favour his rival today over this minimum
trip and the form of the race stacks up well against his rivals so
another close bid should be had here.
My Tissue Price 5/1
6 Daddy Cool First of two
3yo in this handicap today, which gives it that extra edge to the
race and one that is quite a speed ball on fast ground so could head
them all off to make the running, as to whether he is good enough to
stick it out against older more progressed rivals is to be seen as
his recent form wouldnt suggest he is anything more then a average
handicapper. Last over 5F last time at Goodwood in a race that may
hold up against the same age group and the smaller field should help
him, but overall he needs to improve despite dropping to a mark that
he is invitingly weighted off.
My Tissue Price 16/1
7 Bridge It Jo Ran a
cracker at 50-1 in the all grey handicap at Newmarket 2 runs back
and has to be regarded as a flop when encountering quick ground last
time out at Ripon. Handles quick ground in general and is
potentially more suited to a sharp six then a sharp five furlongs,
where she encounters today even though her wins and place efforts
have in the main come over 5F. Handicapped well enough to give her
true running in this handicap she has a ideal jockey booking and the
yard have shown some form recently given her claims and looks the
likely 3yo to benefit today.
My Tissue Price 8/1
8 Matsunosuke Was well
fancied for a decent handicap at the July meeting, where he never
really got going and made amends when beating subsequent winner
shes Minnie over 5F at Sandown a track that sees him to his best.
This sharp 5F looks a shade on the quick side and he will be
produced late as usual and a lot will depend on the pace of the
race, which looks likely to be a fairly solid tempo. The latest 2nd
at Sandown looks solid enough even though the winner made all
against the rail and was a clear-cut winner, he left it to late and
that may be the case again today. Ground and trip suits him clearly
and trainer is doing very well with his limited runners at present.
My Tissue Price 8/1
9 Malapropisim Another
who could easily bounce out and make all in this handicap from
bottom weight in this handicap. Still well handicapped on old form,
he has had over 100 runs now and continues to hold a respectable
level of consistency for Mick Channon. Best over the minimum trip he
handles all sorts of ground and comes here in the hope of boosting
his trainers impressive return at the course further. Beaten 2L my
Matsunosuke at Sandown he meets that rival on 6lbs better terms and
most probably at a track that suits him more then the Coogan runner.
Has the beating of Bluebok on Newbury form but that rival ran well
below his best being outpaced at Halfway and never travelling and
has ground to make up on Safari Mischief for whom he is 7lbs better
of at the weights with. Another likely to give his running makes for
this to be a wide-open race.
My Tissue Price 7/1
Tissue Misaro 3/1,Safari Mischief, Bluebok 5/1, Loch
Verdi 6/1, Malapropisim 7/1, Texas Gold, Bridge it Jo, Matsunosuke
8/1, Daddy Cool 16/ 1.
Verdict A very
open contest, where most of the field have a chance to land this
prize and it should lead to some future winners, with a good solid
pace giving it a true looking sprint handicap for this level. Loch
Verdi could be the classy horse in the field, but she has looked
frustrating so far this season and her form of last year has very
much levelled off. Safari Mischief could be one that goes very
close, while Matsunosuke will be hoping that they cut their throats
in front as he will be arriving late under Jamie Spencer, However,
Misaro looks likely to go well again after a solid start to the
season has tailed off until recently and Ron Harris has his string
running well at present. Texas Gold is monitored.
Selection
Misaro 1pt @ 4-1 (BF 5.0)
Well Chief
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