Well Chief's Horse race Preview

1 – Beaver Patrol – Winner of a big race handicap on 2000 guineas day and has run with credit on quite a few races this season despite the 6lbs penalty, including when a close up 5th in the stewards cup a couple of runs back. Sent of a strong favourite at Windsor last time he ran into a very well handicapped rival who benefited from having the running rail to help him fend of all challengers, the 3rd from that race has gone in since in eye catching style and even the Kiddykid who reposes today on 2lb better terms has ran with credit. Top weighted in this handicap the galloping 6F on speedball ground should have him running with credit yet again of the same mark.

My Tissue Price – 7/2

2 – Greenslades – Ran well behind Golden Dixie at Goodwood just the other week and has the services of Ryan Moore today in a bid to record first victory since May 2006, looks like he is starting to come back to nearing his best and is well handicapped on the best of his own form so a little bit more of his old self will have him in with a chance in this handicap. Any rain would help, as his best performances have been with give in the turf and currently holds a 0-1 record on ground that has firm in the going description. Newmarket in the autumn may be the best time to catch him and if not he could be well handicapped for the start of next season with spring ground.

My Tissue Price – 10/1

3 – Genki – The improving handicapper in the field and one that could find further improvement having bolted up last time at Ascot on ground that will be similar to today’s going. Runs with credit when there are ease in the ground but on top of the ground his performances are closer to heritage handicap form. 7lbs rise for the defeat King Apostle who has won in good style since in a similar handicap to this, will only help further his claims at following up despite the penalty for that victory. Taking on older horses for the second time he should do better then the run at Pontefract when beaten by mud lark Bel Cantor.

My Tissue price – 11/4

4 – Ceremonial Jade – A solid 2nd latest to the Bunbury cup winner Giganticus on quick ground, which was a massive improvement on the average run at the glorious Goodwood meeting where he was dropped 4lbs in weight for the Newmarket run. Been contesting some decent races this term at big meetings he has been found out as slightly below his current handicap mark at that level and this easing in opponents should help him along. The drop in trip is surprising as he has a race at this level over 7f of his revised mark and maybe connections are looking at the Ayr gold cup as a potential late season target for this 4yo and it’s a case of seeing how he gets on today.

My tissue price – 6/1

5 – Barney Mcgrew – Winner over 7F at Goodwood back in June and has gone on to win again over six furlongs at the stiff July course, suited to around 6.5F on a course such as Newbury this could be a potentially to quick 6F for the horse, who is usually produced right at the end of his races over 6F and 7F and this flat galloping 6F in my mind may be a bit to sharp. Beat Curtail last time that is becoming frustrating he needs to improve on that form to win this better standard of handicap off an extra 4lbs in weight and could potentially be at his best with some cut in the ground.

My Tissue Price – 9/1

6 – The Kiddykid – 0-4 at this track with the most recent effort being very disappointing over 7F behind Lovelace and seems to be regressing rather quickly this season. Finished behind Beaver Patrol again at Windsor despite the 15lbs turn around in the weights from the Stan James stakes at Newmarket where he finished 3.5L behind. Suited to the conditions and the trip his speed seems to have gone these days and seven furlongs that he ran with credit over at Chester last time may be his more preferred trip these days.

My Tissue Price – 12/1

7 – Obe Gold – another highly regressive sprinter whose last win came 22 runs ago back in February 2006. Dropped down the handicap to 19lbs lower then that career high mark in Dubai, he has shown little form until recently running well against Tamagin at Newmarket in which the handicapper was harsh enough to rise him 4lbs back up in the weights. Ran a creditable race at Windsor behind Beaver Patrol and the Kiddykid last time of that revised mark but never looked comfortable against those rivals and even though dropped back down 2lbs it is hard to see him reversing the form around, even though the Channon yard are at the top of their game.

My Tissue Price – 16/1

8 – Go On Be A Tiger – The second string for Mick Channon looking at the odds published in the racingpost. Beaten a long way at Newbury in which he beat home the kiddykid (3lb worse off) but was never in contention in that race and only beat that rival due to him not getting home in the conditions. Yet to be anywhere near his best form which he showed on debut over a mile at this track. Returned this season over middle distances, which he flopped at and it wasn’t until contesting a small field mile event that he produced his form again in May going close in a fairly moderate conditions stakes where the main rivals didn’t perform. Last at the July meeting and not much better last time he needs to improve and on breeding maybe this 6F might do the trick but is best watched.

My Tissue price – 20/1

9 – My Gacho – Seems best at Thirsk in which he returned this season to run out a very narrow winner over the old boy Bahamian pirate over 6F and has yet to produce a performance of that level in the 3 runs since, Most of his best performances have come at the lower level of handicaps over 6F, but his personal best on seasonal reappearance gives him a chance at this level on ideal ground conditions. Dropped in the weights to 1lb lower then that winning mark, David Barron has booked the services of Jamie Spencer for the ride today and could just do the trick for the horse. Ran once at the track when 5L 2nd to Intrepid Jack in a 3yo race in which that classy rival won with ease. Different trainer and has claims from the foot of the weights.

My tissue Price – 7/1

Tissue – Genki 11/4, Beaver Patrol 7/2, Ceremonial Jade 6/1, My Gacho 7/1, Barney Mcgrew 9/1, Greenslades 10/1, The Kiddykid 12/1, Obe Gold 16/1, Go On be a tiger 20/1.

Verdict – The usual kind of sprint handicap that you associate with the track and there is two potential improvers in the field in go on be a tiger and the likely favourite Genki who is highly progressive, of the older brigade Ceremonial jade may be the best hope of finding improvement to heritage handicap status with his first attempt over sprint distances. My Gacho of the exposed brigade is interesting at the foot of the weights but in Beaver Patrol you have a proven heritage handicapper already who is as good as ever and in this field should be very disappointing if he cant make his presence felt.

Selection – Beaver Patrol 2pts win @ 9-2 (BF 6.0)

Well Chief