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European Football Preview - 04 Nov 2007

Barcelona v Real Betis

Straight to the point. Back Barcelona to keep a clean sheet at around 1.8 on Betfair.

The recent lack of winning selections owes a lot to the time spent writing lengthy previews, when I could be putting up more bets. The bets that are actually winning. Something has to give, so I'll be keeping it brief in future.

Although Barca don't keep as many clean sheets as they should at the Nou Camp, Frank Rijkaard appears to have found some defensive solidity with successive home shutouts against Atletico Madrid and Almeria. For a side often considered shaky at the back, a record of seven goals conceded in 13 games this season is fairly impressive.

The real swinger however is Real Betis' away record. The visitors have only scored one goal on their travels, failing to find the net in over 400 minutes, since their equaliser at Recreativo Huelva in week one. It's not just the fact that Hector Cuper's side can't score, they often don't even attempt to, as witnessed in the mind-numbing 0-0 draw against Athletic Bilbao last week. Furthermore, Betis' biggest attacking talent, and leading scorer - Rafael Sobis - is unavailable. Compared with quotes of 1/5 for the home win, the 4/5 about a clean sheet looks a steal.

Recommendation: 7.5 pts Barcelona to keep a clean sheet at 1.8. Betfair.

Ilunga