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Euro Qualifier 2008 - 17 Oct 2007

Azerbaijan v Serbia. Wednesday 19:00

The Serbs are in disarray following a pitiful performance in Armenia. Having also dropped points in Kazakhstan, it's their results against the minnows that are to blame for their lowly position in Group A. Qualification now looks a long-shot, with Portugal three points clear in second place.

Morale is low in the Serbian camp, and you have to wonder how motivated they will be, considering the position they now find themselves in. Azerbaijan, and in particular their Serbian-born striker Branimir Subisic will relish the opportunity to inflict more misery on a familiar opponent.

It was a 2-1 victory over Serbia four years ago, which announced Azerbaijan's arrival on the big stage. That result came four months after a stunning 2-2 draw in Belgrade. The Serbs got some sort of revenge with a 1-0 victory last September, but the winning goal was a long time coming.

Bottom line is, Serbia are in desperate form, and look far too short to beat an Azerbaijan side who are clearly somewhat of a bogey side. The basement side produced a spirited defensive display with ten men, to limit Portugal to just two goals at the weekend. They can go one better against the demoralised Serbs.

Recommendation: 4pts Azerbaijan +1.25 @ 4/5. Stan James.

Ilunga